Broker Check
Weekly Recap | May 23, 2022

Weekly Recap | May 23, 2022

May 24, 2022
Weekly Recap

May 16-20, 2022 Recap

Stocks Formally Avert Bear Market

S&P 500 Declines a Seventh Week
The S&P 500 closed fractionally higher last Friday, rebounding from an earlier intra-day low that was momentarily down more than 20% from its January high.  The benchmark index (which avoided a minus 20% closing threshold that meets a bear market) still fell sharply on the week, capping its longest losing streak since the dotcom bubble burst more than twenty years ago. Wall Street continues to wrestle with fears of an outsized economic slowdown while earnings reports from several big-box retailers signaled margin and sales erosion stemming from persistently high inflation.

For the Week…
The S&P 500 sank 3.00%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.90%, its eighth straight weekly loss (longest since 1923) and the Nasdaq Composite slumped another 3.77%. The S&P 500 has had only four streaks of seven or more weekly losses since the end of World War II.

Existing Home Sales Fall Third Month
Sales of previously owned homes declined 2.4% to a 5.61 million annualized rate last month, the lowest level since June 2020. Economists projected a smaller decline to 5.64 million. Sales continue to be pressured lower by a combination of low inventory of homes for sale, rising mortgage rates (5.5% last week from 3.5% at the start of the year) and rising home prices. The median used home selling price is up 14.8% from a year ago to a record $391,200.

Energy Still the Top Performing Sector
Eight of the 11 major sector groups posted declines last week while Energy (+1.36%), Healthcare (+0.93%) and Utilities (+0.45%) advanced. Consumer Staples (which was the sole gainer the week prior) fell the most this past week, down 8.60%. Consumer Discretionary (-7.43%) and Technology (-3.71%) followed on the loss leaderboard. Energy has gained 7.08% so far in the second quarter and is up 48.87% year to date.

Treasury Yields Ease
Treasury bond prices climbed again last week on safer-haven buying, dampening the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes to 2.790% from 2.930% the week prior. Separately, the U.S. Dollar Index (1.35%) capped its first weekly decline since April 1, while WTI crude oil futures nudged slightly lower to $110.28/barrel.

The Latest from @CeteraIM

FOMC Minutes Due Out Wednesday

Jobless Claims Rose to Four-Month High

S&P 500 P/E is Below Ten-Year Average

Economic Calendar

Monday, May 23
Chicago Fed National Activity Index.

Tuesday, May 24
S&P Global US Manufacturing/Services PMIs, New Home Sales.

Wednesday, May 25
Mortgage Activity, Durable/Capital Goods Orders, FOMC Meeting Minutes.

Thursday, May 26
Jobless Claims, Q1 GDP Revision (2 of 3), Q1 Personal Consumption and Prices, Pending Home Sales.

Friday, May 27
Advance Goods-only Trade Balance, Personal Incomes/Spending, Wholesale/Retail Inventories, Consumer Sentiment.

Retail Sales for April met expectations up 0.9%, but big upward revisions of prior months showed consumer strength. Consumer spending makes up roughly 70% of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product, so this could mean recession risks are lower than many anticipate. Consumers also continued their trend to spend more on services and less on goods. A signal that the economy is returning to its pre-pandemic form.

This report is created by Cetera Investment Management LLC. For more insights and information from the team, follow @CeteraIM on Twitter.

About Cetera® Investment Management
Cetera Investment Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser owned by Cetera Financial Group®. Cetera Investment Management provides market perspectives, portfolio guidance, model management, and other investment advice to its affiliated broker-dealers, dually registered broker-dealers and registered investment advisers.

About Cetera Financial Group
“Cetera Financial Group” refers to the network of independent retail firms encompassing, among others, Cetera Advisors LLC, Cetera Advisor Networks LLC, Cetera Investment Services LLC (marketed as Cetera Financial Institutions or Cetera Investors), Cetera Financial Specialists LLC, and First Allied Securities, Inc. All firms are members FINRA / SIPC. Located at 655 W. Broadway, 11th Floor, San Diego, CA  92101.

Individuals affiliated with Cetera firms are either Registered Representatives who offer only brokerage services and receive transaction-based compensation (commissions), Investment Adviser Representatives who offer only investment advisory services and receive fees based on assets, or both Registered Representatives and Investment Adviser Representatives, who can offer both types of services.

The material contained in this document was authored by and is the property of Cetera Investment Management LLC. Cetera Investment Management provides investment management and advisory services to a number of programs sponsored by affiliated and non-affiliated registered investment advisers. Your registered representative or investment adviser representative is not registered with Cetera Investment Management and did not take part in the creation of this material. He or she may not be able to offer Cetera Investment Management portfolio management services.

Nothing in this presentation should be construed as offering or disseminating specific investment, tax, or legal advice to any individual without the benefit of direct and specific consultation with an investment adviser representative authorized to offer Cetera Investment Management services. Information contained herein shall not constitute an offer or a solicitation of any services. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

For more information about Cetera Investment Management, please reference the Cetera Investment Management LLC Form ADV disclosure brochure and the disclosure brochure for the registered investment adviser your adviser is registered with. Please consult with your adviser for his or her specific firm registrations and programs available.

No independent analysis has been performed and the material should not be construed as investment advice. Investment decisions should not be based on this material since the information contained here is a singular update, and prudent investment decisions require the analysis of a much broader collection of facts and context. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The opinions expressed are as of the date published and may change without notice. Any forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision.

All economic and performance information is historical and not indicative of future results. Investors cannot directly invest in unmanaged indices. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability, and differences in accounting standards.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ.

The S&P 500 is an index of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry grouping (among other factors) designed to be a leading indicator of U.S. equities and is meant to reflect the risk/return characteristics of the large cap universe.

The NASDAQ Composite Index includes all domestic and international based common type stocks listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a broad based index.

The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership.

The Russell 3000 Index measures the performance of the largest 3,000 U.S. companies representing approximately 98% of the investable U.S. equity market.

The Russell Midcap Index measures the performance of the mid-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 1000 Index. It includes approximately 800 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership.

The Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index, which was originally called the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index, is a broad based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. The index includes Treasuries, government–related and corporate debt securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate and hybrid ARM pass-throughs), ABS and CMBS (agency and non-agency) debt securities that are rated at least Baa3 by Moody’s and BBB- by S&P. Taxable municipals, including Build America bonds and a small amount of foreign bonds traded in U.S. markets are also included. Eligible bonds must have at least one year until final maturity, but in practice the index holdings have a fluctuating average life of around 8.25 years.

The Bloomberg US Corporate High Yield Index measures the USD-denominated, non-investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. Securities are classified as high yield if the middle rating of Moody's, Fitch, and S&P is Ba1/BB+/BB+ or below, excluding emerging market debt. Payment-in-kind and bonds with predetermined step-up coupon provisions are also included. Eligible securities must have at least one year until final maturity, but in practice the index holdings has a fluctuating average life of around 6.3 years.

The Bloomberg US Municipal Bond Index covers the USD-denominated long-term tax exempt bond market. The index has four main sectors: state and local general obligation bonds, revenue bonds, insured bonds, and prerefunded bonds. Eligible securities must be rated investment grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher) by Moody’s and S&P and have at least one year until final maturity.

The MSCI EAFE Index is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets (Europe, Australasia, Far East) excluding the U.S. and Canada. The Index is market-capitalization weighted.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is designed to measure equity market performance in global emerging markets. It is a float-adjusted market capitalization index.

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a broadly diversified index that measures 22 exchange-traded futures on physical commodities in five groups (energy, agriculture, industrial metals, precious metals, and livestock), which are weighted to account for economic significance and market liquidity. No single commodity can comprise less than 2% or more than 15% of the index; and no group can represent more than 33% of the index.

The S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index is a sub-index of the S&P GSCI, provides investors with a reliable and publicly available benchmark for investment performance in the crude oil market.

The S&P GSCI Gold Index, a sub-index of the S&P GSCI, provides investors with a reliable and publicly available benchmark tracking the COMEX gold futures market.

The U.S. Dollar Index is a weighted geometric mean that provides a value measure of the United States dollar relative to a basket of major foreign currencies. The index, often carrying a USDX or DXY moniker, started in March 1973, beginning with a value of the U.S. Dollar Index at 100.000.